Sunday, July 19, 2009

Thoughts on the Changing Demographic Face of Trading

In the previous post, I outlined some of the challenges faced by the children of the baby boom generation. Now we take a look at a different picture: how those affected by economic crisis might be looking toward self-directed trading and investment as a way of taking control of their futures.

It's interesting that, in this difficult economy, we see a brokerage firm such as Schwab report 197,000 new accounts for the second quarter. E*Trade as well is reporting record numbers of accounts. Interestingly, net new assets from financial advisers and retail clients at Schwab have fallen with the general decline in markets, but daily trading activity is up 20% year-over-year. These traders and investors mostly withdrew funds from low-yielding money market accounts and put money to work in taxable bond funds and international stock funds, not large cap domestic stocks.

In short, they're battling; they're seeking opportunity.

The past several trader events that I have attended have been notably filled with mid-career aged men and women. Earlier, I would encounter far more young males. Similarly, a sizable proportion of people who ask me about joining proprietary trading firms are married men and women, long out of school. In the past, I would say that 90% of queries came from men either in college or recently out of school. When Don Miller announced his training program, it did not surprise me that the average age of his students was in the 40s.

To be sure, trading is not exactly the kind of secure occupation with benefits that many mid-career individuals might be expected to seek. What I hear from many of these newer market participants is that they feel a need to take control of their lives. Some are looking to take control of their finances after receiving disastrous buy-and-hold advice from advisers. Others are looking to take control by creating jobs for themselves when traditional alternatives are lacking.

Many see trading as ultimate control: you eat what you kill; your income is solely dependent upon your efforts and your success.

Think of those who are traumatized by child or spouse abuse, by violent crime, or by debilitating accidents. In every case where there has been a psychological recovery, it has been because the victim rose above victimhood and found ways to regain control. For many people, it seems, self-directed trading and investment have become a means for crafting a future in the wake of economic losses and tattered social contracts.

It's a sobering lesson, but it's also empowering: You cannot rely on any outside agent--not government, not employers--to secure your financial future. As one who works with traders, I worry for those who enter the market arena without proper training and preparation. As a psychologist, however, I laud the entrepreneurial spirit that leads people to rise above their losses and pursue fresh, creative horizons.
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5 comments:

Markus said...

To me it sounds like a lot of people are becoming really desperate... and have a good chance getting even more desperate.

Cheers,
Markus

Gustavo's Trades said...

Brett,

The scary part is that those people who lost tons of money were told the story: simply "buy-and-hold", do it for 10 years and you'll be rich!

Now, the same people go on and attend a 3-day seminar and they're told: This indicator will solve all your problems.. Buy when the green arrow shows up, Sell when the red arrow shows up.... For just a few payments of $499.

Guess what? They're being lied to again.

Trading is a marathon, not a sprint.

It takes a lot of efforts, good solid education (which is hard to find), not to mention controlling the emotional battles, the list goes on.. Sure It can be achieved, as long as one is aware that it takes a lot of effort, and that there isn't a magic pill to be taken.

Cheers!
Gustavo

bruce said...

It's great that all these people are taking control. That's heartening.

I know why they all went for bond funds, with short rates paying nothing, but is this a disaster waiting to happen?

Mark Wolfinger said...

Yes, the spirit is great, but why do so many believe trading is the path to success?

Have they no clue that this is a difficult occupation and that success does not arrive by positive thinking?

I encourage people to learn about using OPTIONS to reduce risk, but there's far more to making money than reducing risk.

Discipline. The ability to trade without emotions. Most importantly the ability to manage risk.

Most don't grasp the concept of 'risk' let alone how to manage it. Trading without emotions? Almost impossible for people who 'must' earn profits to pay the bills. This is not a good thing you are seeing.

Isn't this just going to be yet another disaster for these people who have been screwed by their financial advisors?

http://blog.mdwoptions.com

Brad said...

Couldn't agree more. It's really scary the mountain these people will need to climb but I also appreciate the enthusiastic attitude towards trading. Just listening to the comments on reversal times and blaming huge losses on stop placements makes me shake my head. You need to get your hands dirty by learning in the field how it actually works. That process could take a decade to really understand and I'm not sure most people are psychologically up to it. If it were easy to make a shit ton of money and work your own hours then 75% of the world would be trading for a living. As you've said many times it's like mastery in any other endeavor and for some reason people think this business is different that way.