Tuesday, August 18, 2009

How Well Did I Trade Today?

In the spirit of the recent post on trading metrics, here are three measures of trading performance that might be helpful for intraday traders:

1) Profit/loss per round-turn contract (for futures) or profit/loss per shares traded (for stocks). This tells you whether the money you were making during the day was consistent with your level of market exposure. To make $10,000 on 2000 contracts traded is a much better performance than making $15,000 on 10,000 contracts traded. Here you're asking yourself: did my extra activity during the day translate into enhanced performance?

2) Profit/loss per unit of market movement. Here you look at the distance the market has traveled during the day (say, the sum of the ranges of the day's 30-minute bars) as the denominator and the profit/loss as the numerator. This tells you how your performance varied as a function of short-term opportunity in the market. Making $10,000 in a narrow, range market is a better performance than making $15,000 in a volatile breakout market.

3) Number of shares or contracts traded per unit of market movement. This would provide an objective metric for how aggressively you traded, whether you undertraded opportunity, or overtraded a market with poor opportunity.

As with all metrics, the idea is to see how the ratios look when you're trading well and how they look when you are in drawdown mode. Keeping track of the stats can be extremely helpful in proactively identifying problems in trading before they cost you serious money.
.

2 comments:

Matt Fahmie said...

Great Post Dr. Bret. Would you possibly be able to create a post with all the trading metrics posts you have and any other great sources you know of? The next step for me is to refine and analyze my trading metrics over several strategies I am working on. I more than anything want to work at a prop firm, but without detailed statistics and metrics on my trading I believe I will not stand a chance. So this is my next big step, a step I believe many traders refuse to take. I have been there. I remember you stating that traders who did not keep metrics, did so, because they simply did not want to see. In all your posts, that statement, among others, was a wake up call. I have been keeping metrics for some time now, but I must compile much more before I am confident I have a large enough sample size to bring to a prop firm. Any and all information on this subject you could find would be greatly appreciated. I plan on spending the majority of my time for the next couple months, after the market closes, to understanding,refining and improving my performance metrics.

As always thank you very much, and any feedback provided is always greatly appreciated.

-Matt

Gro said...

Matt : a nice indicator I learned about earlier this year is the expectancy. Trader Mike talks about it here : http://tradermike.net/2004/05/trading_101_expectancy/
Chris Perruna also discusses it here : http://marketstockwatch.blogspot.com/2006/05/what-is-expectancy.html