Thursday, September 24, 2009

When Breakouts Turn False

The recent lows in ES were achieved on lower volume at the bid (bottom blue arrow). As noted in the intraday tweet, we also saw non-confirmations of daily lows among the NQ index and the XLB, XLV, XLY, XLP, and XLK sectors. Those non-confirmed breakouts often become false ones, as sellers are forced to cover positions on failure to sustain the lows.