8/19/2026 - An important test of how well we coach ourselves is how we respond to losing periods in markets. The book Best Loser Wins is very important in this regard. The subtitle of that text reads: "Why Normal Thinking Never Wins the Trading Game". Normal thinking avoids pain and avoids loss. It's normal to hang onto trades that go against us, not wanting to lock in a loss. When we examine the trading of the best traders, however, we find that they are very good at losing. When they see that their ideas aren't working, they're quick to exit and limit their losses. When those ideas do work, they're quick to take profits on a portion of their position but also willing to let the rest of the trade run--and perhaps even add to the position. The result is that the average size of their winning trades far exceeds the average size of the losers. Ironically, the best losers end up becoming the greatest winners.
Where self-coaching comes in is that the best traders not only endure losses, but actively *learn* from them. If a well-researched idea isn't playing out in price action, something else is going on. That something else is a market driver and will trap unaware participants. For instance, perhaps the stock market is not reacting as usual to growth news because commodities, especially oil, and yields are on the rise, suggesting an inflationary environment. The losing trade quickly stimulates a fresh look at markets and often a new, promising trade. The loss was a price paid for learning and can result in a much larger profit.
In short, the mindset of the successful trader is not so much positive or negative as it is resilient. When we coach ourselves to find opportunity following losses, we exercise that resilience.
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8/18/2026 - In the last post, we looked at how relative volume provides important information for understanding market movement and planning our trades. Because volume is so highly correlated with volatility (+.66 during 2026), tracking volume in real time can help us anticipate likely movement and thoughtfully establish targets for our trades.
Yet another facet of the market microsystem that helps us coach our own trading is how market components are moving concurrently with the overall market. If we're trading stock index futures, for example, and we see the market break out of a range higher, we want to quickly look at the NYSE TICK and see how many stocks are ticking higher (i.e., lifting offers) on the move. That tells us a great deal about the breadth of buying interest. We also want to glance how various market sectors are behaving on the breakout. Is this a broad move higher, likely reflecting a trend, or is this rotational action impacting some sectors and not others?
Finally, we want to see how other markets are trading at the time our market is breaking from its range. Is the move occurring in asset classes other than stocks, such as interest rates and currencies, or is this an idiosyncratic move specific to equities? If it's a broad move across asset classes, this can be a great signal that large institutions are deploying capital across macro themes--a development which should help price movement persist.
Who is in the market helps determine how the market moves. A good coach, like a good football quarterback, sees the entire field and calls plays based on what they see. A great deal of trading failure occurs when we get run over by the big picture that we never see.
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8/17/2026 - The previous post suggested that every market exists within an ecosystem and that successful trading of a market requires an understanding of that ecosystem. We can think of price action and volume as the market's "text". The ecosystem is what surrounds and determines price and volume behavior: the "context". Understanding--and genuine conviction--occurs when we can place the market's text in proper context.
Let's say that we are trading the SPX Index via SPY or stock index futures. The first piece of context is how the market is trading compared with how it has typically traded *at that time of day*. So, for instance, is volume at today's opening bars significantly higher, lower, or similar to typical volume during those bars over the past month or so? *Who* is in the market determines how much the market can move and how it is likely to move. Who is in the market also tells you who you are trading against, and that tells you how the market is likely to move.
A simple exercise is to identify the best couple of trading opportunities each day over an extended period of time and then check out those opportunities as a function of the market volume traded on each occasion. You'll see that the ideal "setups" occur differently when you're trading in markets dominated by institutions and those dominated by smaller participants. Developing traders who don't understand context won't realize why the patterns that had been working for them now aren't working. They'll become frustrated, and that will hurt their trading. But the problem is not predominantly psychological. It's a failure to understand market context.
More to come.
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8/16/2026 - So what does trading have in common with photography and how is that relevant to coaching our own trading performance? The above photo of a bee eating and pollinating a flower was sent to me by Dr. Corinne Masur, a psychology colleague and an accomplished photographer. It's a beautiful picture of a beautiful act: the bee feeds from the nectar, while pollen sticks to its body. When the bee moves to another plant for eating, the pollen falls off onto the new flower, enabling the new plant to grow and flourish. The bees and flowers thus live in a mutually beneficial ecosystem. Understanding the bee requires an appreciation of that ecosystem.
When Dr. Masur described what it takes to capture such a beautiful photo, she said that it requires the ability to stand in one spot for a long period of time. That immediately made sense to me. The perfect shot doesn't just suddenly appear. The photographer sees a promising opportunity and waits for the right shot, framing it to capture the subject and its surroundings.
Great traders have a detailed understanding of an ideal market situation to exploit, from the big picture to the moment-to-moment activity. They then have "the ability to stand in one spot for a long period of time", patiently waiting for phenomenal reward relative to risk. Those are the opportunities to size up, and they don't come along all the time. Trading without the ability to stand in one spot--and the knowledge of what to look for across time frames--*is* overtrading.
What many traders don't understand is that each market exists within an ecosystem. It's understanding that ecosystem that that helps us trade the opportunity properly. Simply looking at price bars and chart data misses the ecosystem. It would be like looking at the bee and missing the flower. The next post will explain how to coach ourselves to identify market ecosystems.
This post is written in honor of Victor Niederhoffer, who understood nature and ecosystems and their relationship to markets.
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8/14/2026 - It's often assumed that the role of trading psychology is to help us follow our plans and execute our setups. That is not how experienced traders and portfolio managers coach themselves.
Consider a basketball team preparing for an important game against a talented rival. A significant amount of time is spent watching game films, stopping the films at key points, and learning lessons from those occasions. It is those lessons that are then practiced on the court, building awareness and skills that can take advantage of the rival's weaknesses.
For instance, the films might show that the opposing team is slow to rotate their zone defense when the ball is passed cross court. This sets up open jump shots from the perimeter. In practice, then, the team will rehearse rapid cross court passing to take advantage of the opponent's slow adaptation.
How does this relate to markets? The market is the opponent, and the "films" we review are how the market has recently traded. We track volume/volatility; we track which markets have been correlated with our market; and we track which sectors of the market have been strongest and weakest. We then identify opportunities that have appeared in these recent markets and how we can best take advantage of them. Our practice is rehearsing how we'll trade patterns that are likely to recur in today's trade.
But what if today's market trades differently from recent markets due to news and/or impacts of other markets? That's when we call a timeout and quickly adapt by *not* following our previous plans and by seeing--in real time--how opportunities are setting up. We may even be able to identify markets from the past that have traded similarly and reviewed how we successfully traded them.
In other words, self-coaching sometimes means intentionally not following our plans in order to adapt to new/different market conditions. Self-coaching is preparation and training, and sometimes that means making real time changes in what we do and how we do it.
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8/13/2026 - We are always coaching ourselves. Some of us do it in a conscious, planned fashion and others do it randomly. Our self-talk *is* our self-coaching. We are always talking to ourselves about what we're doing, what we have done, and what we should do. That internal voice is the coach within us.
That is why it's a great test to ask ourselves: Would I want someone else to talk to me the way I speak to myself? Would I speak to a good friend or colleague the way I speak to myself? If the answers to these questions are no, then it's likely that our self-talk (our self-coaching) is sabotaging us.
The reality is that informed, constructive self-talk, like informed, constructive trading, is something that has to be learned, practiced, and cultivated. We need to work on our self-coaching every bit as much as we work on our trading, because we're looking for mastery in both domains.
Yes, we can hire trading coaches and we can sit on trading floors and listen to team leaders and managers guide us. But if we simply rely on others as our coaches, we won't necessarily learn the skills and develop the tools for effectively coaching ourselves. It starts with the quality of our self-talk and whether we're challenging and inspiring ourselves or draining ourselves of vital motivation.
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8/12/2026 - Why aren't we more successful in coaching ourselves to success? As noted below, structure is vital. If our coaching is irregular or if it's a mere add-on to our day's activity--something to get over and done--then it can't truly be internalized to change who we are and what we do. A great question is whether we review our trading/performance with the same intensity that we follow and trade markets. When we read about the Market Wizards, it becomes clear that they study markets and performance for long, intensive hours. That helps them internalize what they learn.
But another reason self-coaching is not successful is that it leaves out a key dimension of learning: emotion. If we look at successful coaches in sports and performance fields, they don't simply go over performance in rote, routine ways with performers. They motivate. They push for more and more, better and better. Think of locker room talks by basketball and football coaches. Think of the coaching of Olympic stars. The role of the coach is to inspire greater and greater performance.
How well do you inspire yourself in your self-coaching? How well do you motivate yourself? If your reviewing and planning are emotionless, routine processes, can they really push you to greater and greater achievement?
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8/11/2026 - Every trader is their own coach: how we talk to ourselves and how we spend time previewing and reviewing markets *is* our self-coaching. A worthwhile question to ask is: If we coached a new trader in the way we coach ourselves, how well would they develop? Alternatively, if we coached someone in the gym the way we coach our own trading, how well would they develop? Many traders are far too informal in their self-coaching, so that they never truly challenge themselves and grow.