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10/11/2026 - The real reason traders don't succeed is because of their motivation to participate in markets. The issue is not that they lack motivation, but that their motivation comes from the wrong place.
Abraham Maslow, the humanistic psychologist, distinguished between *growth* motivation and *deficit* motivation.
If I am drawn to an action because of growth motivation, then I become excited by growth. New experiences, new challenges, new skills--all make me more than I currently am. P/L may be an indication of growth over time, but the true drive comes from mastery: getting better and better at what I'm doing.
Conversely, if I am attracted to an undertaking because of deficit motivation, then I seek to compensate for my perceived weaknesses and shortcomings. If I feel that I haven't been a success in life, then I might look to markets to validate my worth. What draws me to trading is not a deep interest in markets, but a deep need to overcome what I perceive I lack.
Why is this distinction *so* important to trading success?
If I'm motivated by growth, then setbacks become meaningful challenges and add to my drive to succeed. If I'm motivated to overcome my shortcomings, losses in markets will trigger frustration, negativity, and a sense of personal failure. It is out of those emotions that I will then trade emotionally and reactively.
Trying to learn discipline while trading from a deficit perspective is a band-aid on the problem at best. We first need to work on ourselves and find our direction and fulfillment before we can properly pursue markets with a growth mindset. No amount of P/L will be good enough if we don't feel we're good enough.
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10/9/2026 - One topic that came up in the webinar was a common one: overtrading. Here's why that is such an important challenge to overcome:
Imagine that you were eager to meet people to develop a romantic relationship and you quickly had sexual relations with anyone you could. After all, you have a "fear of missing out"! So you go to bed with anyone and everyone.
Well, in fact you *would* miss out with such a strategy, because you would never develop a meaningful relationship. Nothing cumulative comes from a series of one-night stands. By limiting yourself to a potential partner, you now have to deal with limitations that arise by talking out differences, sharing new experiences, and learning about/accommodating the other person's uniqueness. That's how relationships grow!
Orson Wells famously said that "The absence of limitations is the enemy of art". What he meant is that it is precisely the limitation of the materials available to the artist that prods creativity. If I only have two actors/actresses on stage, I now need to find fresh ways of creating action and drama. If I only have two colors and a paintbrush, I need to think of unique ways to mix and blend and integrate those colors--and new ways to use the paintbrush!
Without constraints, we have no need for discipline or innovation. Overtrading follows from the absence of constraints.
This is why I recommended to webinar attendees the exercise of limiting yourself to two or three trades per day if you're an active trader. If you only have two or three trades available to you, now you need to be creative! You need to drill down and figure out what, truly, are the two or three best opportunities each day. That will not just make you a more disciplined trader; it will make you a better trader.
Doing less is a path to doing better.
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10/8/2026 - A major topic that I covered in yesterday's webinar was the application of the solution focus to our trading. One of the top psychological challenges I've seen from traders this year is frustration. Trend/momentum strategies in stocks worked well in the first half of the year--especially in those AI-related stocks--and then we saw a sizable pullback and choppy action thereafter. Traders who kept doing what worked in the first part of the year became frustrated and discouraged subsequently. Similarly, those trading stable interest rate regimes and benefiting from moves in relative value blew out when rates more recently began going higher and higher. Markets changed and it was difficult for traders to adapt.
The solution focus keeps our eyes on what is working. We want to identify what we are seeing well and doing well--even during periods of drawdown, and especially in times of drawdown! Very often, the trades that *make* money are the ones that teach us how to succeed in current market conditions.
One of my favorite exercises from my days of learning trading is to identify in the market(s) I'm trading the trade of the day. What was the best move of the day and how did it set up? Often I looked at the best move of the morning and the best move that set up during the afternoon. I studied those moves to see how they occurred. This helped me refine my trade selection and execution, but it also alerted me to changes in how the market was moving. When the best trades that set up this week are quite different from those that set up last week, that is a great indication that the market has changed.
We can study what works even if we weren't in those trades. Tracking how the market moves day after day tells us about market regimes and alerts us to when those regimes have changed. The big challenge I see from traders this year is failure to adapt to change.
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10/7/2026 - I'll be holding the first of the free trading psychology webinars today at 4:15 PM ET and will pass along trader questions and issues that are discussed in that session. The sessions will be held monthly, so be on the look out for signup notices for November!
One of the most common challenges I hear from developing traders arises once they have experienced initial success. Now they want to get bigger in their risk taking. Often, however, when they bump up their sizing, they find themselves falling back into their rookie mistakes and losing money. How can we sustain our progress while growing our trading?
Suppose you chose to get bigger in your trading by getting broader? In other words, if you've had success trading momentum and short-term breakouts, suppose you found mean-reversion patterns to trade in slower markets that lack momentum? Or if you've been successful in trading the large cap stock indexes, suppose you broaden out to trade small cap and sector indexes? When you get broader in your trading and look at more things, you grow your trading by finding more opportunities--not by sizing one thing up. That diversification helps you make money when one market is promising and others are not--and that makes you more consistent.
Once you have broadened your trading and are making money consistently, you can *gradually* increase your sizing for all of your trades. Consistency has to precede size. When you are broadly consistent, you can step up your sizing by small amounts so that trades don't feel different. By increasing size across all your trades, you preserve your balance in where you derive P/L in different markets.
In short, focus on getting better, not bigger. Aim for breadth and consistency of trading before size. That builds your confidence and keeps the growth of your trading business sustainable.
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10/6/2026 - So what is the greatest psychological challenge that traders face? I would argue that it's not what is usually discussed, such as fear, greed, and overtrading. It's bigger than that.
The greatest psychological challenge is self-care.
We care about markets, we care about trading well, and we care about our relationships and family life. All that is great.
Something, however, is missing. We don't operate at peak energy and peak mindset. It's not the presence of negatives that holds us back; it's the absence of the positives that could be energizing and inspiring us.
The easiest way to see this is in how we treat our bodies. Do we do the things to keep ourselves in peak physical condition? Do we treat our bodies well in how we eat, sleep, and exercise?
Would we want to be in a relationship with someone who treats us the way we treat our bodies?
All of this was inspired by a visit to a very good massage therapist. I found out that I was sore and stiff in ways I did not expect. Hours and hours each day at the keyboard take their toll. After the massage, I felt a kind of energy that I had not experienced recently.
What if we prioritized our bodies in our work routines, our eating and drinking, our exercise? How might that impact our psychological well-being, and how would *that* improve performance across all areas of life?
The great challenge is to treat our lives outside of trading with the same motivation and priority that we devote to markets. That will energize all our efforts: we care more about everything in life when we are grounded in self-care.
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10/5/2026 - Perhaps the greatest challenge traders have faced during 2026 is the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into their trading processes. Among the teams that I work with, there has been a rapid progression in the use of AI, beginning with broad and rapid collection of news and information to expanded analytics, backtesting, and automation of trading strategies. As this article makes clear, AI has gone from serving as an information tool to becoming a decision maker. For the first time, I am seeing a shrinking of team sizes as AI replaces traditional roles of analysts and trading assistants.
The top challenge of AI is the broadening of the trader's scope. In the past, a trader might screen for stocks showing particular characteristics (such as trending) and would trade one or more strategies for exploiting those characteristics. Now, it's entirely likely that AI engines can scour multiple markets across multiple strategies turning individual traders into portfolio managers. Why can't the stock market trader apply strategies to currency, commodities, or interest rate markets? Why can't the trend trader of stocks now become a trader of cycling, range markets and a trader of the relative movement of stock pairs and sectors? As AI expands the range of rapid analysis, there is no reason that a trader can't implement multiple strategies across multiple time frames thus achieving diversification and a greater number of ways of winning.
But maybe this isn't the greatest challenge of AI. As the AI engines grow ever more powerful and flexible, the trader's discretionary role diminishes. The ideas that are traded are the machine's ideas, not the trader's insights. The very factors that make trading more robust may undermine what makes trading psychologically rewarding for many traders. That is a powerful factor making traders reluctant to adopt AI, and it could make trading success increasingly challenging.
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10/4/2026 - Your struggles in trading *are* your path to growth. What challenges you is there to change you. Every trading struggle is highlighting what you need to do to progress.One of the most common struggles I have heard from traders this year is the challenge of holding onto positions. Markets have not been moving in nice, smooth trends and there has been considerable headline risk. The trader who tries to hold onto a position for a big picture view gets whipped around and often has to exit and keep losses down before the idea can play out. This is quite frustrating.
What it points to in many cases is the need to develop tools for better entering and exiting trades on those shorter time frames. As I've pointed out in the past, the opposite of a "trending" or "momentum" market is generally not a "choppy" or "untradeable" market. The opposite of trending is cycling. The market is trading in cycles, and many times there are multiple cycles interacting to create the feeling of choppiness. The challenge is to use indicators/oscillators to reveal short-term peaks and valleys within the market action as guides to tactical trading. Strategic trend following isn't working, so the key is to be nimble and tactical.
In my case, I trade stock index futures and create bars on the chart representing units of volume. Thus, for instance, I might make each bar represent 50,000 contracts traded and I will look at where we are trading relative to moving averages of those bars. I also have charts in front of me that are shorter-term, such as denominating the bars in 5000 contract units. I have found that the volume-based bars normalize market activity through the trading day and produce helpful overbought/oversold signals. Seeing how the charts based on lower volume bars are cycling is useful in finding good entry/exit points vis a vis the higher volume bars.
Many times, we become frustrated in our trading because the meaningful patterns that are setting up in the current market are different from the patterns we're looking for. Seeing what is happening on shorter time frames can be very useful in nimbly trading longer time periods. Our trading challenges are there for a purpose: to make us better by expanding/refining what we're doing.