Tuesday, June 02, 2009

Premarket Briefing: Preparing for Range Trade


Here we place the overnight market (60 min. chart of S&P 500 e-mini futures; ES) within the context of the last several day's trade. We broke above the early May highs of 929.50, so we want to see if we can hold above the May range to sustain an upside breakout move.

We're currently trading well into Monday's range, not far off Monday's pivot level. After several strong days, I'm prepared for some consolidation in the form of range trading, with overnight high and low prices serving as initial targets and Monday's high and low prices next on the list.

I find that many of the best trades early in the day come from reading sentiment (Market Delta, TICK) in the opening minutes of trade and then placing trades to hit those initial targets. Since 85% of all days hit either their prior day's high or low and 70% of all days touch their prior day's pivot price, these are nice targets to shoot for when we open inside the previous day's range.

I'll update the target hunt in tweets early in the session (follow here) before I start my work with traders.
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3 comments:

SY said...

Brett, the interplay between Twitter and the blog posts is awesome. Keep up the good work!

Fitz said...

Dr Brett: how do you combat the occasional boredom ? You know, whatever you trade, somedays there's just no action.

MACDOW said...

Dr Brett
Thanks for all the info its really interesting & helpfull.
To help you answer Fritz about Boredom ... Frits tell you what I do from time to time when its getting really quiet and I have been at my desk for a few hours or more... I sit at my desk from market open to close...
How old are you Fritz? If you are over a certain age you will remember PACMAN
Ahhhh - the good and the greast all played pacman in the 80s!!!
So I give you a simple link to download a nice clean version of pacman. Play a game or two and then go back to your charts,You can even open it on top of your charts if you dont have enough desk space. I do and it helps break the boredom and revives your mind. The link is as follows
http://www.mechodownload.com/forum/games-mechodownload/67110-classic-pacman.html Be sure to note the password so you can open the files and get it onto your desk top. I have this and its great.

So Dr Brett did you play pacman in the 80s?

Regards
David