
8/11/2025 - If you're building an enduring trading business, your review processes need to be as detailed as your trading processes. Professionals in performance fields spend more time practicing, reviewing performance, and working on improvement as they do in formal performance. The best reviews focus on opportunities you may have missed; what happened to your trades after you exited and how you could have managed the positions better; where you could have tactically added to positions and where you could have taken profits; etc. In review, you're looking for the patterns in your trading just as rigorously as you look for market patterns. Successful traders are motivated by the drive for improvement and mastery, not just the drive to make money. Look at the trading journals you keep. If you saw someone working on their trading the way you work on your trading, would you invest in them?
8/10/2025 - Your trading business should be grounded in some unique strength/experience that you possess and that others do not. If you're not expert in some area, can you expect performance that reflects expertise? What do you know and what do you do with that knowledge that makes you distinctive? How are you special?
I'll just mention that my own trading is grounded in years and years of detailed study of patterns of stock market breadth: overall market breadth and the breadth of various sectors. These breadth patterns have an excellent historical track record of anticipating momentum/trend (continuation of recent movement) and reversal. For example, when we see overall stock market strength in the major indexes but many sectors well off their highs and displaying poor breadth, the odds of reversal increase significantly.
Note that we're near all-time highs in the broad equity indexes but well off our highs in small cap stocks, in the real estate sector, in the healthcare sector, in the regional banking sector, and lagging recent highs in the materials and energy sectors. As of Friday, 449 stocks in the NYSE universe registered new monthly highs and 700 made fresh monthly lows. We need to see breadth expand from here to keep the bull going.
8/10/2025 - A unique challenge in building a trading business is that it takes optimism to sustain efforts across the ups and downs of P/L, but it takes realism to manage risk and limit losses. A great principle is that, each day, you should know what--specifically--will tell you that your trade is wrong and you should get out. That level should also be one that still allows you to recover your losses on your next trades. In practice that means that the trade is different from the idea you are trading. The trade is a risk-to-reward proposition that expresses an idea. The idea may ultimately prove correct, but the trade is an attempt to capitalize on the idea here and now. Even when we may hang onto an idea, it's important to be able to let go of the trade if the idea isn't playing out; i.e., if the marketplace is not recognizing that idea. Conversely, it's important to recognize when the idea is truly playing out and to be able to treat it as more than a short-term trade. Successful trading is a marriage of tactical and strategic thinking; being in the right mind frame is necessary for success but hardly sufficient.
8/8/2025 - One of the most important lessons I learned early in my hedge fund career is that the best trading is planned, not reactive. Indeed, every part of the trade--from the research of the idea to the timing/structure of the trade to the management of the risk--follows a plan. That plan creates a replicable process that ensures we do the right things the right way with the right consistency. This is yet another way in which your trading truly is a business. The successful business does not operate by impulse and whim. It follows best practices that have been shown to be profitable. We cannot be our best selves and run our best businesses if we are reactive.
We can never be more planned in our trading than we are in our day-to-day lives. If we are not living each day, each week intentionally, we unwittingly reinforce reactivity. How we manage our risk ultimately mirrors how we manage our lives. What will make today successful? What will make this week successful? What can I do right now to move forward with the plan for my day and week? Living with purpose cultivates our ability to trade purpose-fully.
8/7/2025 - If you are approaching your trading business as a true entrepreneur, then you should be able to deliver an elevator pitch to someone who might want to invest their funds with you. The elevator pitch would quickly summarize what makes you and your trading unique and why you are able to achieve superior returns relative to other traders in your space. In the spirit of the below post, consider what your elevator pitch would be and whether you would invest with someone who delivered that pitch to you. If you're truly running your trading as a business, you should be able to describe what you do, how you do it, and why it is uniquely successful in a short pitch. If you don't have your edge thought through to that degree, should you really be investing in a strategy that you would reject if someone else brought it to you?
8/7/2025 - Every serious trader is an entrepreneur. We take the first step toward development when we make our trading business our business. That means having a business plan, detailing our goals and the resources we need to reach those goals. A great exercise that I've described in the past is to write out the business plan for your trading business. Then put it away and read it carefully the next day, asking yourself, "If someone came to me with this plan, would I invest my money in their business?" If the answer isn't "Hell, yeah!", perhaps we should rethink what we're doing with our time and energy.A solid business plan for a trader describes in detail the opportunities pursued in markets and how those will be pursued; how capital will be allocated to trades; how risk will be managed; how performance will be reviewed and improved; and how new areas of business opportunity will be researched and developed. Without sound business planning, can you truly expect to trade in a planned and sound fashion?