The Psychology of Playing a Big Market Opportunity

 

3/30/25 - The tariff announcement on April 2nd carries a high degree of uncertainty and the selloff in US stocks to end the week was one sign of that.  Given an oversold stock market, an announcement that is more benign than expected could lead to quite a round of short covering.  An announcement that conveys elements of shock and awe could continue pressure on U.S. stocks and the U.S. Dollar.  What is important from a trading psychology perspective is that it's not necessary to *predict* what will be announced.  That is because whatever is announced will impact large market participants and create short-to-medium term trading opportunities.  In other words, successful trader identify what *is* happening and respond quickly.  They don't become caught up in what they think will happen or what should happen.  Uncertainty brings opportunity, but only when traders and investors perceive a shift toward greater certainty.