Sunday, January 14, 2007

Letting Profits Run: A Guide to Becoming Your Own Trading Coach

My most recent post emphasized many of the basics that enable people to become their own trading coaches. For this last post in the series, let's apply those basics to one of the most common trading problems that people describe to me: the difficulty of letting profits run.

From the previous post, it should be clear why this is such a difficulty: We set our profit targets and trade strategy while we are in one state of mind but then, as the trade progresses, we enter an entirely new state. That new state very often involves worried thoughts about losing unrealized profits or having gains turn into losses. It generally brings an elevated heart rate, increased muscle tension, and more rapid and shallow breathing. As we become aware of the nervous feelings, that helps to perpetuate the negative thoughts and altered physical state, which in turn can amplify the anxiety. Very often, cutting positions short before profits can run is simply a coping device to manage this anxious state. We exit the position for emotional relief, not for reasons of sound strategy and money management.

The solution focused approach calls on us to review those occasions in which we have been able, in some measure, to let profits run--even just a bit. What did we do differently on those occasions? Those exceptions from our problem patterns are what we have to build upon: they are our potential solutions.

In my case as a trader, there are several things I've done differently when I've been successful in letting profits run:

* I have planned the trade well in advance with research; it is not a spontaneous trade, so I've had time to think clearly about what I want to do.

* I have a clear profit target in mind based on research and refuse to waver from that target unless the market takes me out with a predefined stop. I consider myself a person of integrity, so I tell myself that I have to show integrity and loyalty to my trade idea and target;

* I don't follow the position tick for tick. Either the trade will hit my target or it will hit my stop. I make a conscious effort to let go and not micromanage the trade;

* I keep myself calm and clearly focused by purposely getting up from my chair, doing some stretches, breathing deeply, and getting away from the screen. I keep myself in a state that is incompatible with anxiety;

* I rehearse constructive self-talk during the trade. I tell myself that I've done my preparation and established my edge. Any individual trade can go against me, but if I take all the good trades I can, eventually I'll benefit from good odds and a good risk-reward ratio. If I lose money on the trade, I'll figure out why and what that might be telling me about the current market.

All of these steps, taken together, form a template for how I manage to hold onto positions to maximize profits. Now the key is to turn this template into a habit pattern. I want it to become automatic--an internalized part of me.

To accomplish this, I wear my heart monitor and go out for a morning jog prior to the market open. I use the monitor to ensure that I maintain an elevated heart rate and a good jogging pace. While I'm running, I'm mentally rehearsing each aspect of my template. I'm imagining my trades, and I'm imagining what I'll do if they move in my favor. I rehearse the proper self-talk, and I imagine getting away from the screen and staying loose. I also imagine, with plenty of emotion, how happy I'll be sticking to my ideas and reaping enhanced profits. In short, I'm getting physically *and* emotionally pumped up during the jog.

This becomes a routine every morning. Repetition and powerful emotion are the keys to turning patterns into routines and setting new spots on our radio dial of consciousness. After a while, those thoughts, images, and feelings from my jogs begin to appear on their own, as they increasingly become familiar parts of me. Then, during my break from the screen while I'm letting a trade run, I go on my treadmill for a few minutes or simply jog in place. I get myself back into the pumped up state and recruit everything I've rehearsed. Instead of feeling anxious while riding the trade, I'm feeling energized.

Again and again, during each trading day.

Notice that you could substitute any desired behavior for the holding onto trades and make this technique work for you. It does take practice and repetition, but once you have a positive habit pattern, you have it potentially for life. The key is focusing on your strengths and turning those into patterns that can be triggered when you enter into associated states of mind and body. In my example, I used jogging to create the unique state. I could have just as easily chosen meditation or self-hypnosis.

Once you grasp this method and become good at it, there are many positive patterns you can program--in your work, relationships, and trading. There is no need to become bogged down in problems when you can build upon your own solutions.

9 comments:

Glen said...

Brett,

It's evident that you put a lot of emphasis on trader anxiety and its control. I agree that excessive anxiety is inimical to good trading. I believe high levels of anxiety are more common among those trading one or a few instruments at a point in time. Someone who has to manage several trades at a time, assuming a balance of long and short positions, should generally feel less anxiety than someone focusing on a single long or short position. I can imagine that jogging on a treadmill could help because the action puts stresses on the body which in turn may relegate anxieties to the body's physiological 'back burner'. But when the market is in session, and when there is no treadmill available, what is an anxious person to do? For someone with high anxiety and lack of success trading a single instrument, wouldn't you suggest they find a lower anxiety method, such as trading a balanced range of instruments such as a variety of ETF's or commodities, long and short?

I may be totally off base with this statement, but I think that anxiety control is very difficult and that it is more a function of one's makeup rather than one's consciousness, in other words it is almost uncontrollable and determined by one's genetic makeup. Successful fighter pilots, submariners, NFL quarterbacks, extreme sports afficionados, and most traders all share natural low anxiety levels, in my humble opinion. They can't fake it and I don't think they have to work really hard at controlling anxiety. And at the other end of the spectrum are those who can't leave the house, can't imagine speaking in front of more than two people, and couldn't possibly invest money on their own. Somewhere in between are most of us aspiring traders, in the mid range of natural anxiety potential.

In terms of dealing with that anxiety, I like this method of trading, as you suggest:

* I don't follow the position tick for tick. Either the trade will hit my target or it will hit my stop. I make a conscious effort to let go and not micromanage the trade.

I think this is a wonderful way to trade, leaving it to the trading 'gods' to determine thumbs up or down, once a position is established. With a tool such as Ninja Trader or Button Trader software, one can put on a trade with a strategy to exit and a strategy to let profits run, and let the chips fall where they may.

Apoligies for the rambling post.

Glen

Anonymous said...

Excellent Post Brett. Out of all the problems a trader can face, letting profits run has been my biggest challenge. I have no problem getting out of losers or pulling the trigger, but letting profits run has been difficult for me but that was in the past...I now just place my stop and say to myself either my target get's hit or my protective stop will get hit.. That seems to take the emotion out of letting profits run.

Another reason why traders fail to let profits run which I don't think you mentioned is that alot of traders trade their P&L. Maybe they lost $1000 on the last trade so now that they have a $1000 open profit they may be tempted to take it so that they will make up for the last losing trade.

Kevin

Brett Steenbarger, Ph.D. said...

Hi Glen,

Thanks for the perspective. There are trait factors that influence propensity toward anxiety, but my experience as a psychologist is that, as long as the trader does not have a clinically diagnosable anxiety disorder, behavioral and cognitive techniques can be extremely effective in controlling the anxiety. Ditto anger/frustration. The treadmill is but one way to enter an alternative state; meditation is another and might be more accessible.

Brett

Brett Steenbarger, Ph.D. said...

Very good point, Kevin; thanks. Becoming caught up in P/L indeed increases performance anxiety and makes it difficult to let profits run.

Brett

Anonymous said...

Dr. Steenbarger:

Thank you very much for this timely post on overcoming fears to let the winning trades run. I am going to take notes and implement some of your recommendations into my execution system, will let you know the results.

FW

Brett Steenbarger, Ph.D. said...

Thanks FW; I look forward to hearing your results--

Brett

Anonymous said...

I'm still struggling on how to reconcile the idea in this post and in this one:

http://traderfeed.blogspot.com/2006/12/three-pieces-of-trading-wisdom.html

I wrote a post here:

http://moominhouse.blogspot.com/2007/01/nobody-ever-went-broke-by-taking-profit.html

So now I am reducing the size of the position if it is successful and then letting the remaining half run.

Brett Steenbarger, Ph.D. said...

Hi Moom,

Sorry for any confusion. Note that the first post stated, "You might let a piece of your position ride if you have a longer-term opinion, but never give green a chance to become red.". I think that's consistent with the recent post. If you determine the odds are in your favor to, say, hit R2 when buying is strong and volume is elevated, it's worth letting a piece ride to take advantage of that longer-term move. You still, however, would raise your stop to breakeven once you hit the initial target and took some profits, so that your green would not go to red. The idea is to combine protection of profits with minimizing losses with maximizing opportunity. Hope that makes sense; thanks for the opportunity to clarify.

Brett

Manish Chauhan said...

Just one word ; EXCELLENT :)

I am going to do this from tomm morning . I am sure this is going to change my trading :)

Manish
http://www.jagoinvestor.com