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Exploiting the edge from historical market patterns
Thursday, February 18, 2010
Looking for Information, Not Trades
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An important implication of the recent post on building intuition is that coming to markets looking for setups to trade is probably the wro...
Building Market Intuition: How Chance Favors Prepared Minds
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The recent post focused on how anxiety and frustration can interfere with the subtle cues that provide an intuitive, gut feel for markets. ...
Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Viewpoints at Midweek
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* Crucial topic: What to do when you lose confidence as a trader: Part One , Part Two , Part Three * Nice video on using simulation to b...
Midday Briefing for February 17th: Tracking Sentiment With NYSE TICK
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This morning I heard from a frustrated trader who was trying to sell the S&P 500 Index in response to the weakness he saw in other marke...
Morning Briefing for February 17th: Weighed Down by the Euro
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Note how the sharp downside break in the euro this morning (above chart) corresponded to weakness in commodities and eventually stocks. Whi...
What Happens After Strong Stock Market Breakouts?
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Yesterday we saw my proprietary measure of Demand exceed Supply by a greater than 10:1 ratio. (Note: I post Demand and Supply scores each m...
Intuition, Luck, and Anxiety in Trading
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Two recent posts dovetail, with interesting implications. Recall the post on what makes people lucky : one research finding was that tense ...
Tuesday, February 16, 2010
The Role of Intuition in Trading Decisions
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This afternoon I had an unusually strong intuition that the market would close strong and even mentioned my impression to a couple of tradin...
Midday Briefing for February 16th: Watching VWAPs
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At this juncture in the day, 30 of the 40 stocks that I follow in my basket (five stocks from each of the eight S&P sectors that I track...
Morning Briefing for February 16th: Upside Break
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10:52 AM CT - I've added the top chart to show how we've broken above the overnight highs on solid buying volume, propelled by the i...
Stop-Loss Points in Trading: Do We Need Stops When We Trade?
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Henry Carstens has recently written about ways to manage risk other than through stop loss points. I've noticed with traders recently ...
Monday, February 15, 2010
Learning to be Lucky
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Many thanks to an eagle-eyed reader for calling my attention to this excellent article on what differentiates lucky and unlucky people. It...
Drills to Improve Your Intraday Trading
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I recently posted on why I like the replay mode of Market Delta to support simulated trading. There is much more to structuring a learning...
Starting the Week: International Perspectives and More
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* These are the kinds of trades I rehearse in simulation mode; more on this topic shortly; * Coaching yourself to let profits run ; * EU...
Sunday, February 14, 2010
Simulation Trading With Market Delta: A Powerful Learning Tool
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My recent post outlined the importance of simulation in learning a performance discipline such as trading. If you click on the chart above...
Indicator Update for February 14th
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Last week's indicator review suggested that we had put in a momentum low in the stock market, with possible tests of the lows to follow...
Training Traders: The Role of Simulation in Supercharging Learning
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A recent research report suggests that computer simulations can be as effective as direct observation in education. Simulations have long ...
Saturday, February 13, 2010
Weekend Insights
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* The elements of a trading plan ; * Lack of economic growth in Europe; * Global concerns on the radar; * Is the situation in Greece g...
A Look at Investor Sentiment in the Bond Market
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Here we see a chart of the relative strength of high yield bonds (JNK) to investment grade bonds (LQD). Note how this relationship went hay...
Three Steps in Overcoming Psychological Trauma
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Previous Posts in This Series: Trading, Trauma, and the Brain A Psychological Trauma Self-Evaluation Psychological Trauma and Trading Risk T...
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